Where’s the Big Opportunity in the Indian Internet Space?

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Rajesh Jain recently wrote an interesting series on the opportunities in the Indian internet space: part 1, part 2, part 3, part 4.

Rajesh’s main point is that “the current crop of portals (horizontals and verticals)… haven’t yet become “utilities” (daily must-visits) in our lives” and there’s an opportunity “to build a hybrid net-mobile consumer media business, if one is willing to invest $5+ million over the next 2-3 years”.

I agree with Rajesh that unlimited flat-rate broadband plans will be the key to driving internet usage in India. I also agree with Rajesh’s assertion that web services need to leverage both internet and mobile to maximize reach and build in multiple revenue streams.

However, I think that Rajesh rushes through the last post and merely lists down the big sectors and players in the Indian internet space, without identifying the big business opportunities.

The big opportunity in the Indian internet space consists of three parts and here’s the missing third (first) part –

Part 1: Build a compelling vertical offering combining rich local content and a vibrant local community.

Part 2: Leverage both internet and mobile to exploit each medium’s specific strengths (the rich user experience of broadband internet, the always-accessible, location-aware nature of mobile web, and the ubiquity of SMS).

Part 3: Exploit multiple revenue streams, including, but not limited to advertising, subscription, transaction fees, micro-purchases, and business services.

When you look at these three parts together, you see that the Indian internet space has significant gaps even in the big verticals. We still don’t have an Indian Huffington Post (news 2.0), a thriving Indian travel or consumer review community, or even a vibrant cricket or Bollywood community.

Do note that I’m not talking about building an Indian Facebook or an Indian LinkedIn or even an Indian Dopplr. Facebook, LinkedIn and Dopplr are also going to be the Indian Facebook, the Indian LinkedIn and the Indian Dopplr.

I’m talking about combining local content and local community on the product side and internet, mobile web and SMS on the distribution side, which is best done by an Indian player, with a deep understanding of the Indian market.

The question is: who will be that Indian player?

- X – X- X -

Update 1:In essence, I’m visualizing a platform which has three layers –

Layer 1: A location layer to help users benefit from physical proximity, with people, places, and products and services.

Layer 2: A content and community layer to create a rich and engaging user experience on both internet and mobile.

Layer 3: An API layer to help third party developers build applications that extend the functionality of the platform and connect it with existing social networks.

- X – X- X -

Update 2: It seems that the post has struck a nerve with some of my friends.

I’m not saying that building such a community won’t take three years and millions of dollars. I’m not saying that the community will necessarily have the three-layered architecture I have mentioned. I actually put it in after writing the post, almost as an afterthought. I have now taken it out from the main post into an update as it was becoming a distraction.

My point is that, as long as Indian web players focus purely on transactions or information, they won’t be able to become “utilities” (daily must-visits) in our lives. That will only happen when they build a vibrant local community around local content.

That’s a really simple assertion, and I’m surprised that everyone doesn’t intuitively see it. So, if you disagree with that core idea, I would love to know why. Also, if you disagree, I would love to ask you: what, in your mind, is the big opportunity on the Indian internet?

- X – X – X -

Update 3: This conversation, and especially Shyam’s comment, reminds me of a post I wrote in February, on how the problem with Indian entrepreneurship is as much on the demand side, as on the supply side.

I had written that it is difficult to scale web startups in India, because the internet and mobile web penetration is still in single digits, and the market is simply not big enough to support several large players in most niches.

I had also said that even mobile VAS startups in India are finding it difficult to scale because the big numbers in SMS and voices aren’t backed up by big purchasing power.

I had concluded that the scale required to be viable in India is much bigger than elsewhere as niches that are viable in developed markets haven’t yet emerged in India. Unfortunately, not much has changed since then.

But, some players will break through nevertheless and scale, and IMHO, they are likely to be the ones who combine local content and local community on the product side and internet, mobile web and SMS on the distribution side.

If you liked this post, you should check out some other posts like this:

  • good post at gauravonomics http://bit.ly/4yv4Kf and some great insights by mahesh murthy in the comments section
  • Anita Lobo
    As a representative consumer [working mom with two kids/ reasonable buying power/ urban etc] I think there are several areas that could well be served by providing value - I will pick two illustrative areas:

    A] reducing time/ effort taken for must-do's that aren't fun e.g. grocery shopping

    I have a list, can I shop online and get exactly what I ordered - payment on delivery?

    The local grocery shop has a limited range and the supermarket is an ordeal of travel and queues!

    India's organised retailers don't get this as yet!

    B] Tapping into special interests e.g. a book library / retailer who delivers

    I'm a voracious reader and love buying books. I want new and not used books.
    I frequently ask for titles that even good retailers don't have/ not released in India as yet.
    Does it make sense to buy from Amazon when I want 2 books a month that cost INR 1000-1500?
    Anyone interested in serving me and thousands of readers who'd love to rent or buy books.

    Considering how thin the margins in publishing & distbn are, why not create an online/ offline delivery model?

    As a consumer:

    I may not particularly well-versed with the technologies involved

    And the internet is just another way to get information and interact with people

    But I know what I want and if a business can deliver amazing services, at my doorstep/ laptop/ mobile etc, lets talk.

    Cheers

    Anita Lobo
  • Gaurav:

    You wrote-

    "Part 1: Build a compelling vertical offering combining rich local content and a vibrant local community.

    Part 2: Leverage both internet and mobile to exploit each medium’s specific strengths (the rich user experience of broadband internet, the always-accessible, location-aware nature of mobile web, and the ubiquity of SMS).

    Part 3: Exploit multiple revenue streams, including, but not limited to advertising, subscription, transaction fees, micro-purchases, and business services."

    My thoughts:

    Part 1 - check out a business called "Just Dial" (not a vertical offering) but they drive value, they are a utility, they drive business. They make money. They are a successful business.

    Part 2- Rajesh already covers that.

    Part 3 - Rajesh covers that, so does every entrepreneur entering a business - tries to cover it- may or may not succeed.

    Business models will decide who is the target. It's not about India audience alone. Zoho and Slideshare have shown that Indian teams can succeed in addressing global needs. Naukri, with its India focus, has done fantastically well too.

    3rd party apps etc. ride on success (or some expectation of success) of the original offering and inducing 3rd party developers, in absence, is not really a given or a SOP.

    Most of the stuff in the comments resonates with me, more than this post Gaurav. However, thanks for starting the debate. It's always good to read thoughts from so many people who are already in the space.

    Cheers

    Rajesh
  • Gaurav you've picked up something I question myself almost daily. From why aren't their many great web products from India to why aren't enough(or are there ?) insightful people like Seth Godin, Chris Anderson, Clay Shirky etc with specializations and micro-specializations from India, the scope is immense.

    Getting back to the problem/opportunity of Indian Internet Space, I agree with the three points listed in update 1 though point 1 may not be mandatory. The idea is to build

    "Niche web services/products that may use location/region specific information or content to build a community around it and leverage it further by means of an API"

    More than the penetration of Internet and Mobile I tend to think what's missing at the idea and execution front. Why think of not having a very high number of web/mobile users from India when you have the whole world as the market. Why not build products that work in US and other parts where the penetration is quite high ?

    Also, do you think having a great product that does well on all the three counts enough ?
    I doubt.

    If either of these is missing, getting a great product is out of question

    1) Original/Viral Ideas
    2) Right People/Team
    3) Right people to mentor/fund/evangelize
  • Enjoyed reading the post, and comments. Sanjay and Shyam - these portions of your comments especially resonate and serve as a great warning and reminder to many of us who are trying to find our way in this space:

    Sanjay: "Customer value is the key. And opportunities are to be first found there, and technology and interfaces follow later. If there are few successes (and there ARE!), but more failed-attempts in the Indian Internet space so far, it is more because tech-entrepreneurs fall in love with technology and keep playing around there, and lose sight of the value proposition."
    Shyam: "India thrives on a federated, bottom-up model. Products that work here at scale (with the exception of maybe an IRCTC to an extent) will also need to follow the same. The current Indian internet model is monolithic centralized model, which works almost exclusively on top-to-bottom. It is a fundamental change in perspective that needs to be brought about, alongside the value creation to enable our big opportunities."

    Greater penetration of broadband and access on mobile can help us get closer to the opportunities. Still, India in so many ways is one of the most challenging 'markets' to crack really, due to the heterogeneity of its people, their lives and culture. Hence, the value of and need for federated bottom-up model as well as being able to identify value-propositions that are relevant and meaningful for customers take on even greater significance. While there might be opportunities for verticals as we know them today that cut through these differences, I do believe there is a big opportunity in identifying new value propositions for smaller groups of "consumers" (some that the rest of the world might not have seen yet) and testing and experimenting in those spaces. There are companies that are taking this approach, a few of course!

    So, starting with a group of people - say paanwallas or vegetable wallas or grape farmers or women's self-help groups nestled in small towns and villages etc. - ensuring they have access - then identifying value propositions that might be useful for them in a manner that they change their lives for the better (those are the most compelling na?) - might be a good starting point. And what joy if we find something that is of real value for all these groups!!

    And when we talk of Youth in India who are expected to have greater access, it's again a very very heterogeneous group really. I was in Aurangabad doing research on cell phones recently, when I encountered this guy who was utterly thrilled at suddenly expanding his network of 'sms friends' on his mobile phone to about a 100. Apparently, a regional Marathi newspaper posted SMS sent to a page in their daily edition. Along with the message (which were more often than not the Roses are red, violets are blue .. i love you types) was your alias and cell phone number, so people could respond to your message. Much like status updates on twitter and facebook etc,. This kid had access to the internet, and had heard of Orkut and even Facebook - but he felt lost there and much more comfortable in expanding his network through this route. Different from the urban metro kids huh!
  • Am here at Gaurav's invitation.

    There are some things I agree with on Gaurav's and Rajesh's posts and many I do not.

    Here's what I think.

    1. There's nothing special about the internet - it's merely another means of interaction. So I'm not sure what 'internet-play' means versus any other play. Yes, being on the net comes with potential advantages of scalability and viral marketing ability should you choose to take advantage of these correctly. But you can fail here too, and you can succeed without the internet too.

    2. There are no hard and fast rules on how much money and time it takes to build a successful online business. I disagree with Rajesh's "$5 million and 2- 3 years" contention. There are more exceptions than the rule here. This is the type of generalisation I typically hear from junior VC folks who have never run a business before and I'm surprised to see it coming from Rajesh, an accomplished entrepreneur himself.

    3. I also disagree with the theoretical thinking that Gaurav presents here in the case of "layers". Business to my mind and experience doesn't follow these norms and schedules and need for locality / community / APIs in any order, predictable or otherwise. I've seen more businesses successfully not following the these routes than doing so - and as many offline businesses go online successfully as vice versa. If there's any rule and trend it is that there are probably no rules and trends. There is slightly-ordered-chaos and you can take advantage of it in a myriad ways.

    4. I disagree with top-down theoretical contentions that 65 million people and 40 million credit card holders is too small an audience to do anything significant online. Please remember these are larger than the entire populations of over 200 countries in the world. I've seen Ajit Balakrishnan of Rediff make this complaint for a decade now that Rediff will grow when the internet grows and the government has to make the internet grow - and I think it's bunkum - especially when other, better-thought-through businesses have grown faster by understanding the consumer and advertiser better rather than by waiting for governmental action. You don't need a market size of 100 million people to run a successful online business. Even 100 will do if it's well targeted. More importantly, all online businesses are by definition, global - there's no reason you can't run a global business from your bedroom in Ghatkopar - so why are we looking just at Indian internet populations?

    5. I disagree with the contention that there's no early stage money in the $500k to $2m space. Rajesh himself funds companies there, as does Seedfund, the firm I'm with. As are half a dozen more people I can think of. I can tell you this - we have money to invest here, and we don't see good enough ideas to back. Which is probably one reason why you are seeing funds like Helion and Matrix fund spas, restaurants and beauty clinics. If you do think you have a great business then please write to info@seedfund.in. We've backed Redbus, CarWale, Printo, AFAQs, Vaatsalya, RupeeTalk, Healthizen and others - and we're looking for more such potential leaders.

    6. I don't think it's difficult to scale up companies here - Indian entrepreneurs have managed to do so for several centuries now. A universe of 65 million net users in India, another 1 billion net users outside India, 400 million mobile users in India, another 2 billion mobile users outside India is nothing to sneeze at. Think of it this way: 65 million people is 4 cities the size of Bombay - and can't you start a business that serves that many people - even if you're JUST looking at internet and JUST looking at India?

    7. The natural complement to the internet is not SMS - it turns out to be the phone call. A little thought will tell you why. There might be 400 million net users but how many of those can fluently SMS in English? The depth of interaction available on the internet can only be matched by what you can do on a phone call - 160 characters in an unknown language won't help much here. So you might use the mobile still - but in voice mode, not SMS or data mode. And despite all claims, this is still cost-effective in India.

    8. Recession and all aside, online media businesses STILL have tremendous scope in India. A Facebook reaches 7 million every month in India in SEC A/B. An Orkut reaches more than twice as many. This reach is FAR GREATER than that of the Times of India or any TV channel against this audience. Yet, Facebook and Orkut haven't bothered yet to make too much money in India - at least, compared to TOI or Star. This isn't the fault of the medium - it's the fault of the publishers. Look at Google - it's come from nowhere to be around the Rs. 450 crore mark in India - 5 times larger than Rediff in India, and far larger than most TV channels and only smaller than ToI, HT, Star and one or two other entities. They didn't gripe and moan - they went about their work understanding the consumer and advertiser and acting on it.

    9. I see enormous untapped potential to start businesses in India that use the net - and I do agree with the contention that it's pointless to start India's Google, India's Yahoo, India's Twitter or India's Facebook - in every case, it is these very companies themselves. Don't copy. The business conditions here are different. Build a business that's right for these circumstances.

    My $0.02

    Mahesh
  • WoW! Hats of to you Mahesh! I made more than a lakh of rupees in Tamil Blogging in two years that was really taken care of Buying a Maruthi 800, my first car! So with niche audience/users we can make a good amount of money if we can make out our own NET INDIVIDUALITY than some copycat ideas. It is all about pin pointing our own niche and targeting them sat storming them with useful content/datas/offers etc! We forgot to implement many of our indian Business community's classical wisdoms! Instead thinking of the scale we must concentrate on ROI and Efficiency! I would like to share you one simple experiment on the web "media" . Oneday my friends said that TAMIL SONGS of 80s (Ilayaraja's period) are still popular than that of hugely popular A.R.Rehman! This triggered me an idea. I just selected some 30 golden hits of Ilayaraja and put it in a podcasting and served it in my site with a simple flash player along with nicely integrated Google Adsense! My investment =2 days of my time and a 20$ ! In two years I made more than 400$ serving my niche audience without updating even once in these two years! So small is beautiful in the indian context (many many cultures = many more niches) and we must tap them in our own intuitive ways! Thanks Mahesh and Gaurav for the discussion!

    With warm regards
    Osai Chella
    Founder: BlogChai.com
  • Hi Guarav, nice one! Enjoyed reading yours as well as Rajesh's posts. But is there any business opportunity in such localized models? As far as Bollywood community is concerned, quite a many players in India tried to do so, but I don't think any of them were able to make a flixster out of it. Any thoughts on the same?
  • Gaurav:
    1. There are profitable Indian Internet businesses. So that is not a shortfall today. Of course, there are many which are not profitable, but that's not the point here.
    2. Craigslist, without the jazz, is a perfect example of something that is relevant, provides value, and works well. Yes, sure, the local part is right there. But more importantly, it's the value proposition.
    3. 50 mn Indian users - is it seriously one consumer demography? Do they all need broadband, Nokia E75, Lux, Coca Cola, insurance, restaurant reservations, etc.?? Guess not. The winning proposition has to make money. And directly or indirectly, the money will come only via that consumer base. Either via transaction or via advertising (consumer should pay to advertisers then!) or via subscriptions, etc. What is the wallet share that this business can lure out, from the 50 mn base?
    4. What do you define as the "big" opportunity? Size of customer engagement (10 mn or more?), revenues (is Facebook big? Is Gmail big? Ok, if we still go by revenues, what's big Online travel cos or Naukri numbers impress you enough? Or we're looking for even bigger stuiff?)? Or is it about traffic (hits, eyeballs... eesh.. so 1999.. lol)? Once we have that clarity, we can possibly see, within the framework, what fits possibly, as that next big thing.
    5. Like you can't say that a business is about customer service or quality anymore, because those are par for course, and not business models, so also, for an Internet business, potentially having a good UI, Web 2.0 functionality, etc. is par. That is not a business. Business will still need to address the fundamental question.. WHY? WHAT VALUE??! Once that is addressed, the dressing up can happen as demanded today!
  • Hi from Osai Chella of BlogChai!thanks for the twitter! will mail you on choosing the google platform than our own dedicated servers and modules! lol!

    Then sorry for one thing. We listed your blog earlier in the main category but we are please to move you to "Celebrity Leaders" category Now! Cheers! (What a following in twitter!)

    With warm regards
    Osai Chella (Blogged b4 Blogger! lol!)
    Founder: BlogChai.com

    Lattest news about chella:
    My very popular Tamil Blog says ..
    எழுதிய பதிவுகள் (Number of posts): 541
    வந்த பின்னூட்டங்கள் (Number of comments) : 3450 !!
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